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Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The National League Central rivals Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers will open the three-game series on Friday and the Cubs are already under pressure following a slow start of the season, while the hosts are five wins ahead in the standings.

The pitching matchup for Friday’s tilt will give us Jose Quintana for the Chicago Cubs against the Milwaukee Brewers’ Brandon Woodruff. First pitch was set for 8:10 PM ET. MLB: Friday, April 5, 2019, Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, 8:10 PM ET

The Cubs suffered another defeat, second to the Braves

Chicago opened the new MLB campaign with a convincing 12-4 road victory over the Texas Rangers but they suffered four consecutive defeats since including two to the Atlanta Braves, scoring just four runs in the process. The Cubs were destroyed in the opener, 8-0, and although they had a 4-2 lead after seven innings in the second tilt, the Braves scored four unanswered runs in the eighth to set the final score, 6-4. Willson Contreras recorded a two-run homer but that wasn’t’ enough for Chicago to snap the losing streak.

Jose Quintana is listed as the starter against the Milwaukee Brewers, and he’s coming from the 13-11 record in 2018, a 4.03 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, 68 walks, and 158 strikeouts in 32 games (all starts) overall. Quintana faced the Brewers on seven occasions in 2018 and recorded four wins and a loss as he pitched for 42 innings, allowing 29 hits and ten runs with ten walks and 37 strikeouts. He pitched for four innings in an 8-6 loss to the Rangers and allowed six hits and a couple of runs.

The Brewers swept the Reds in a three-game series

Milwaukee quickly responded to the first defeat of the season to the St. Louis Cardinals with five straight wins including all three over the Cincinnati Reds on the road. The Brewers didn’t impress offensively in the latest encounter with the Reds, recording just two hits but managed to score the game’s only run in the second inning and get a narrow, 1-0 victory. Freddy Peralta was excellent as he pitched eight shutout innings and allowed only two hits to Cincinnati.


Brandon Woodruff is listed as the starter against the Chicago Cubs, and he’s coming from the 3-0 record in 2018, a 3.61 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, 14 walks, and 47 strikeouts in 19 games (four starts) overall. Woodruff faced the Cubs three times in 2018 as he pitched for five innings, allowing six hits and three runs with three walks and seven strikeouts. He pitched for five innings in a 4-2 win over the Cards this year and allowed six hits and two runs in the process.

Chicago Cubs:

  • 2-5 in their last seven during game one of a series
  • 0-4 in their last four games played on the road
  • 0-4 in their last four games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 1-5 in Quintana’s last six road starts

Milwaukee Brewers:

  • 21-7 in their last 28 vs. National League Central rivals
  • 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • 6-1 in their last seven games played at home vs. a left-handed starter
  • 5-1 in Woodruff’s last six starts

Milwaukee won seven out of the previous ten H2H encounters including four of the last five, while the Brewers were victorious in five of the past six meetings at the Miller Park. Although Quintana had a solid record against Milwaukee in 2018, the Cubs are in a bad form at the moment, while Milwaukee is playing very well and I don’t think they will miss an opportunity to open the series with the divisional rivals in front of their own crowd.

Betting Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (-140)

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