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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 07/07/19

The San Diego Padres will square off against their in-state adversary Los Angeles Dodgers. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Spectrum SportsNet LA will showcase the matchup.

Padres at Dodgers Odds

San Diego (+145) is coming into this one as the underdog to Los Angeles (-155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (+120 for the over and -140 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -150 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +130 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Dodgers are 60-31 straight up (SU) and 42-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.7 units ATS. The Padres have gone 44-45 SU this year and are 39-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.5 units ATS.

Dodgers games have a 42-41-7 over/under record so far in 2019. San Diego has been a decent over bet with a total record of 44-37-7.

Joey Lucchesi will get the nod for San Diego. The left-handed Lucchesi is 6-4 with a 3.91 ERA and 88 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Dodgers are sending righty Ross Stripling (3-2, 3.45 ERA) to the mound. Stripling has 59 strikeouts and 19 walks to his credit, along with a 1.26 WHIP. Stripling is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Diego this year.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 3.01 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 43 divisional games, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.88.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .213/.295/.360 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ offense this year. Bellinger is slashing .341/.437/.701 with 30 home runs, 71 RBIs, 70 runs and eight steals, while Turner’s line is .295/.377/.439 with nine homers, 33 RBIs and 44 runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.38 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.85, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 9.90.

The Padres offense has slashed .242/.307/.429 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .290/.340/.452 with 13 home runs, 62 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .269/.342/.495 with 20 homers, 58 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 4.8 units and are 31-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 2.0 units and are 9-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 14 which went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Padres have a team OPS of .736 this season and an OPS of .723 against right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS sits at .813 overall and .804 versus righties.

Los Angeles has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.6 over its last five.

The Padres have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 14 over their last 10.

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