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Via https://bleacherreport.com/new-york-yankees

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick 07/07/19

The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and YES Network is in line to televise the matchup.

Yankees at Rays Odds

Vegas is listing New York (+105) as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-115). If you’re thinking the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, then bookmakers are offering -125 odds. Picking the over give you +105 odds. The game’s current runline odds sit at -200 for betting the Yankees +1.5 runs and +170 for the Rays -1.5.

The Yankees are 57-30 SU and are 50-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 15.9 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 51-39 SU and 48-41 ATS. They’ve lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.4 units ATS.

Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 38-45-6 thus far in 2019. New York has been a good over bet with a total record of 48-35-3.

Southpaw James Paxton is the probable starter for New York. Paxton is 5-3 with a 4.09 ERA and 84 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rays this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 3.86 ERA and 10 strikeouts over seven innings).

The Rays are handing the ball to righty Charlie Morton (9-2, 2.36 ERA), who’s got 132 strikeouts and 35 walks to his name, along with a 1.03 WHIP. Morton is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.24 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.08, along with a K-per-9 of 10.01.

The Yankees offense has slashed .266/.344/.466 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game this year, including 6.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is hitting .336/.383/.518 with 12 home runs, 63 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Torres is hitting .292 with 19 homers, 50 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.03, a WHIP of 1.06 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.74 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 35 games against AL East opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 2.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.06.

The Tampa Bay hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .254/.332/.409 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have led the Rays’ offense this year. Pham is slashing .278/.378/.453 with 13 home runs, 37 RBIs, 41 runs and eight stolen bases, and Garcia’s line sits at .273/.331/.444 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 39 runs and nine steals.

The Yankees have gained 13.1 units and are 37-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 1.9 units and are 18-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in just two of New York’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 11 over their last 10.

The Yankees have a team OPS of .810 this season and an OPS of .836 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS sits at .751 overall and .762 against righties.

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