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New York Mets at Miami Marlins Game Preview and Prediction

The National League East rivals New York Mets and Miami Marlins will face in the first game of a three-game series after their respective opening series of the new MLB season against Washington and Colorado.

The pitching matchup for Monday’s tilt will give us Steven Matz for the New York Mets against the Miami Marlins’ Caleb Smith. First pitch was set for 7:10 PM ET. MLB: Monday, April 1, 2019, Marlins Park, Miami, Florida, 7:10 PM ET

The Mets scored seven runs in the final two innings to make it 2-0 over Washington

New York opened the new MLB campaign with a 2-0 win over the Washington Nationals and thanks to an excellent offensive display in the eighth and ninth inning, they won the second game of the series as well, 11-8. Pete Alonso played a key role in a win as he contributed with three hits and three runs to help the Mets jumping to 2-0 to open the season.

Steven Matz is listed as the starter against the Miami Marlins, and he’s coming from the 5-11 record in 2018, a 3.97 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, 58 walks, and 152 strikeouts in 30 games (all starts) overall. Matz faced the Marlins three times last year and recorded a win as he pitched for 17 innings, allowing nine hits and four runs with five walks and 18 strikeouts.

The Marlins responded in the third game of the series with Colorado

Miami welcomed the Colorado Rockies in the opening series of the new MLB season and although they cannot be satisfied with displays in the first two games, the Marlins bounced back with a 7-3 victory in the third tilt. This time, the Marlins never trailed and got separation in the seventh inning when they scored a pair of runs and their offense finally clicked with 16 hits in total, including Miguel Rojas and Martin Prado who contributed with three hits apiece.

Caleb Smith is listed as the starter against the New York Mets, and he’s coming from the 5-6 record in 2018, a 4.19 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, 33 walks, and 88 strikeouts in 16 games (all starts) overall. Smith faced the Mets twice last year and recorded a win as he pitched for 11 innings, allowing eight hits and four runs with three walks and 15 strikeouts.


  • 2-8 in their last ten games played at home vs. a left-handed starter
  • 1-4 in their last five games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • 5-16 in their last 21 during game one of a series

New York:

  • 4-0 in their last four overall
  • 4-0 in their last four vs. National League East rivals
  • 5-1 in their last six games played on the road

New York won five of the previous ten H2H encounters including the last one during spring training when it was 6-0 for the Mets, but the Marlins were victorious in the past three meetings at the Marlins Park. The Mets’ starting pitcher Steven Matz is the biggest reason why I am backing the visitors in this one as the Mets are 5-0 in Matz’s last five starts vs. Marlins, so it’s obvious that Matz has what it takes to beat Miami. Although Miami’s offense played well in the first win of the season over the Rockies, I am confident Matz will take care of them and New York has the quality to respond on the other end.

Betting Pick: New York Mets

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