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Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Preview 04/10/19

The Golden State Warriors will take on the Memphis Grizzlies in their regular-season finale at FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee, Wednesday night. They will meet each other for the fourth time this season, and the Warriors lead the series 3-0, covering the spread on all three occasions. While the Grizzlies will finish their journey tonight, the reigning champions will enter the postseason as a No. 1 seed in the West.  NBA: Wednesday, April 10, 2019, FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee, 8:00 PM ET

The Warriors are looking for their seventh straight win

The Golden State Warriors (57-24; 35-45-1 ATS) are on a six-game winning streak following a 112-103 victory at the New Orleans Pelicans last night. The Warriors played without Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson who both got a day off, while Stephen Curry spent just nine minutes on the floor before tweaking his ankle, but Steph should be ready for the playoffs. DeMarcus Cousins led the Warriors with 21 points and 12 rebounds in season-high 35 minutes on the court, while Quinn Cook added 19 points off the bench. Curry is ruled out for tonight’s game in Memphis, while KD and Klay are both listed as questionable.

Stephen Curry is leading the way for the Warriors this season, tallying 27.3 points per game on 47.2% shooting from the field and 43.7% from beyond the 3-point line along with 5.3 rebounds and 5.2 assists. DeMarcus Cousins will probably be a key player for the Warriors tonight, and Boogie is averaging 17.6 points and 8.9 rebounds over his last eight outings. The Warriors’ offensive rating is the best in the league this season with 116.0 points per 100 possessions on 49.1% shooting from the field (also 1st in the league) and 38.4% from beyond the arc (3rd). The reigning champions are allowing 109.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in the league) on 44.3% shooting from the field (tied-2nd).

The Grizzlies blew a 22-point lead at Detroit last night

The Memphis Grizzlies (32-49; 38-42-1 ATS) are coming off a 100-93 defeat at the Detroit Pistons last night, recording their second straight loss and fourth over their last five outings. The Grizzlies had a 22-point lead with 4:21 left in the second quarter, but they scored just 36 second-half points to let the Pistons escape with a win. Memphis shot 47.8% from the field and 41.7% from downtown, but the Grizzlies turned the ball over a whopping 22 times. Bruno Caboclo and Delon Wright scored 15 points each, while Ivan Rabb added nine points and ten boards off the bench.

Mike Conley is leading the way for the Grizzlies this season, averaging 21.1 points and 6.4 assists per game, but he’ll probably miss the season finale. Jonas Valanciunas (ankle), Avery Bradley (shin), Jaren Jackson Jr. (quadriceps), and Kyle Anderson (shoulder) are all out for the season, so Delon Wright and Tyler Dorsey will be go-to-guys for Memphis tonight. Wright is averaging 15.0 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 7.3 assists per game over his last ten outings. The Grizzlies are scoring 105.8 points per 100 possessions (28th in the league) on 44.9% shooting from the field (25th) and 33.9% from beyond the arc (28th), surrendering 108.7 points in a return (9th in the league) on 45.1% shooting from the field (6th).

Trends:

Golden State Warriors:

  •  7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings with Memphis
  • 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS in the last 11 encounters with the Western Conference

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS on the second day of the last ten back-to-back sets
  •  3-7 straight up and ATS in the last ten meetings with the Western Conference

The Winner Prediction

I think the Grizzlies don’t want to win this game in order to stay behind Dallas and New Orleans and keep the best possible chances at the 2019 NBA Draft. Hereof, I’m backing the Warriors to win and hopefully cover the spread along the way. Both teams will be quite short-handed, but the Warriors will have a couple of starters, while the Grizzlies will miss their complete starting lineup along with a few more players.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors -4.5 (-110)  

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