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Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Game Preview and Prediction

The Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves will wrap up the series tonight at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and the Warriors have won all three previous matchups this season, covering the spread on two occasions. Minnesota is eliminated from the playoff race, while Golden State is battling for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.  NBA: Friday, March 29, 2019, Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota, 8:00 PM ET

The Warriors are looking for their third straight win

The Golden State Warriors (51-23; 31-42-1 ATS) are coming off a 118-103 victory at the Memphis Grizzlies this past Wednesday, recording their second win in a row and fourth over their last five outings. The Warriors shot excellent 53.6% from the field and 48.4% from beyond the arc, allowing the Grizzlies just 19 points in the fourth quarter to close the game in a strong fashion. Kevin Durant led the Warriors with 28 points on 12-of-13 shooting from the field. Stephen Curry also had 28 points along with ten rebounds and seven assists. Golden State continues the race with the Nuggets for the top spot in the West, and the Warriors have won five of their last six games away from home.

Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant are leading the way for the reigning champions. Curry is averaging 27.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game while making 43.1% of his 3-pointers. Durant is posting 26.8 points per contest on 51.6% shooting from the field along with 6.5 rebounds and 5.7 dimes. Klay Thompson is adding 22.1 points per outing, while DeMarcus Cousins is tallying 15.9 points and 8.0 rebounds a night. The Warriors are scoring 115.8 points per 100 possessions (1st in the league) on 48.8% shooting from the field (also 1st), allowing 110.1 points in a return (15th) on 44.6% shooting from the field (3rd).

The Timberwolves continue to struggle, especially at the defensive end

The Minnesota Timberwolves (33-41; 35-39 ATS) are coming off a 122-111 defeat to the Los Angeles Clippers this past Tuesday, recording their sixth loss over the previous seven outings. The Timberwolves put on another lousy defensive job, allowing the Clippers to make 54.1% of their field goals including 16 triples out of 32 attempts from deep. Minnesota surrendered 42 points in the first quarter and was down by 20 points at halftime. The Timberwolves will finish the season without injured Derrick Rose, Jeff Teague, and Robert Covington, while Taj Gibson (calf) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game.

Karl-Anthony Towns is leading the Timberwolves this season, averaging 24.7 points and 12.5 rebounds per game. Andrew Wiggins is tallying 17.7 points and 4.8 rebounds per contest, while Dario Saric is adding 10.1 points and 5.5 rebounds per outing. The Timberwolves’ offensive rating is 12th in the league with 111.5 points per 100 possessions, and Minnesota is hitting 45.5% of its field goals (17th in the league). On the other side of the ball, the T-Wolves are allowing 112.6 points per 100 possessions (24th) on 46.5% shooting from the field (20th).

Trends:

Golden State Warriors:

  •  4-1 SU and ATS in the last five games on the road
  • Under is 11-2 in the last 13 outings
  • Under is 9-1 in the last ten road matchups with Minnesota

Minnesota Timberwolves:

  • 1-6 SU and ATS in the last seven games overall
  •  1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings with Golden State
  • Under is 8-2 in the last ten meetings with Golden State

The Winner Prediction

The Warriors are struggling against the spread this season, but they are covering at a steady pace when playing away from home. The Timberwolves will be without some very important players, missing their first two options at PG, so I think the Warriors will easily win tonight and cover the spread along the way.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors -9.5 (-110)

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