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Detroit Pistons vs. Golden State Warriors Game Preview and Prediction

The inter-conference showdown at Oracle Arena in Oakland, California, will see the Detroit Pistons going against the Golden State Warriors this Sunday night. The Pistons have defeated the Warriors 111-102 as 4.5-point home underdogs earlier in the season. The reigning champions are listed as massive favorites on this one, while both teams will play without rest.  NBA: Sunday, March 24, 2019, Oracle Arena, Oakland, California, 8:30 PM ET

The Pistons have been struggling on the road lately

The Detroit Pistons (37-35; 36-33-3 ATS) are coming off a 117-112 defeat at the Portland Trail Blazers last night, recording their fourth loss over the last five games on the road. The Pistons had a 3-point lead at the start of the fourth quarter, but couldn’t resist Damian Lillard and the Blazers in the final 12 minutes. They shot 50.0% from the field while making 24 assists, but the Pistons allowed the Blazers to make 54.4% of their field goals and grab 11 offensive rebounds. Detroit is tied with Brooklyn at the No. 6 seed in the East 2.5 games ahead of Orlando at the 9th place. The Pistons are 3-2 straight up and ATS in their last five games overall.

Blake Griffin is leading the way for the Pistons, averaging 24.7 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game while making 46.6% of his field goals. Andre Drummond is posting 17.4 points and 15.4 rebounds per contest, while Reggie Jackson is tallying 15.5 points and 4.2 dimes per outing. The Pistons are scoring 108.9 points per 100 possessions (20th in the league) on 44.1% shooting from the field (29th) and 35.0% from beyond the arc, making 22.9 assists (24th) and posting 45.9 rebounds (9th). They are allowing 109.1 points in a return (11th in the league) on 47.0% shooting from the field (24th).

The Warriors embarrassed themselves against the Mavs in front of the home fans

The Golden State Warriors (49-23; 30-41-1 ATS) suffered a heavy 126-91 defeat to the Dallas Mavericks last night which was their worst loss in Steve Kerr era. It was a huge embarrassment for the reigning champions who made just four 3-pointers out of 30 attempts while allowing their rivals to hit 21 triples and make 33 assists. The Warriors played without Stephen Curry (rest) which was obviously a blow, but he should be ready for tonight’s matchup with the Pistons. After this defeat, Golden State dropped to the second spot of the Western Conference standings half a game behind the Denver Nuggets, while they are 4-2 straight up and ATS in their last six games overall.

Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant lead the way for the Warriors this season. Curry is averaging 27.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game while making 47.1% of his field goals and 42.9% of his 3-pointers. KD is tallying 27.0 points per contest on 51.1% shooting from the field to go with 6.5 rebounds and 5.7 assists. Klay Thompson is scoring 22.2 points per game, but he had just eight points last night. The Warriors are scoring 115.7 points per 100 possessions (1st in the league) on 48.7% shooting from the field (also 1st) and 37.9% from downtown (3rd), making 28.8 assists (1st) and grabbing 45.5 boards (11th). They are allowing 109.7 points in a return (14th in the league) on 44.6% shooting from the field (3rd).

Trends:

Detroit Pistons:

  •  4-8 ATS in the last 12 games as double-digit dogs
  • Under is 8-1-1 in the last ten road meetings with the Western Conference
  • Under is 11-4 on the second day of the last 15 back-to-back sets

Golden State Warriors:

  • 5-0 ATS in the last five games after allowing 100+ points in the previous contest
  •  Under is 11-0 in the last 11 games overall
  • Under is 7-1 in the last eight games at home

The Winner Prediction

The Warriors were terrible last night on both sides of the floor and need to bounce back against the Pistons who will also have some tired legs among their roster. I’m pretty sure the hosts will shoot the ball much better than they did it against the Mavs, while their defense will have to do a better job against the Pistons who are arguably a poor offensive force. Stephen Curry should be back in the lineup which is a huge boost for the reigning champions, so I’m backing them to cover even though they’ve been terrible against the spread this season. The No. 1 seed in the conference is at stake, and I think the Warriors will find the way to smash the Pistons tonight.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors -10.0 (-110)

The Total

I’ve mentioned the Pistons’ issues at the offensive end, and I expect to see the Warriors trying their best at the defensive end tonight after the last night’s collapse. The betting trends are suggesting the under that has hit in seven of the last ten head-to-head duels between these two foes, so I’m taking the under.

The Pick: Under 216.5 points (-110)

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