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Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs Game Preview and Prediction

The inter-conference showdown at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas, will see the league leaders Milwaukee Bucks taking on the San Antonio Spurs who are the No. 8 seed in the West. The Bucks defeated the Spurs 135-129 as 9.5-point favorites in their first head-to-head meeting of the season to record their fourth straight victory over Gregg Popovich’s team.  NBA: Sunday, March 10, 2019, AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas, 8:00 PM ET

 

The Bucks are looking to avoid their third consecutive defeat on the road

The Milwaukee Bucks (49-16; 38-24-3 ATS) have suffered two straight defeats on the road, losing at the Utah Jazz 115-111 and the Phoenix Suns 114-105. The league leaders embarrassed themselves in Arizona, failing to outlast the second-worst team in the league. They allowed 38 points in the fourth quarter, obviously underestimating the Suns after having a lead for most of the game. The Bucks have won seven of their last nine games overall, covering the spread on five occasions, while they are 10-2 straight up and ATS in the last 12 outings on the road.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is leading the Bucks, averaging 27.0 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game while making 57.9% of his field goals. The Greek Freak is posting 27.2 points and 13.3 rebounds over his last nine appearances. Khris Middleton is tallying 17.6 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per contest, while Eric Bledsoe is adding 15.9 points, 4.7 boards, and 5.4 dimes per outing. The Bucks are scoring 113.6 points per 100 possessions (4th in the league) on 47.7% shooting from the field (tied-3rd) and 35.1% from beyond the arc (17th). They are allowing 104.6 points in a return (1st) on 43.2% shooting from the field (also 1st) and 35.8% from downtown (18th).

The Spurs are looking for their fifth straight win

The San Antonio Spurs (37-29; 35-31 ATS) are riding a four-game winning streak following a 111-104 victory at the Atlanta Hawks this past Wednesday. LaMarcus Aldridge accounted for 32 points on 11-of-16 shooting from the field, while the Spurs made 49.4% of their field goals along with 27 assists. They are 3.5 games ahead of the No. 9 seed Sacramento Kings and need to stay on the winning path, as the Utah Jazz and the Los Angeles Clippers are just half a game ahead of the Spurs. San Antonio is 3-1 ATS during its winning streak, while the Spurs have won seven straight contests on the home court.

DeMar DeRozan is leading the way for the Spurs, averaging 21.4 points, 6.1 assists, and 6.2 rebounds per game while hitting 47.2% of his field goals. LaMarcus Aldridge is tallying 21.1 points and 8.9 rebounds per contest, while Rudy Guy is adding 14.2 points and 6.5 boards per outing. The Spurs are scoring 112.7 points per 100 possessions (7th in the league) on 47.7% shooting from the field (tied-3rd) and 39.9% from beyond the arc (1st). They are conceding 111.8 points in a return (21st) on 46.6% shooting from the field (also 21st) and 36.3% from downtown (25th).

Trends:

Milwaukee Bucks:

  •  2-6 SU in the last eight road meetings with San Antonio
  • Under is 12-6 on the second day of its last 18 back-to-back sets

San Antonio Spurs:

  • 17-3 SU and 13-7 ATS in the last 20 games at home
  •  6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven home encounters with the Eastern Conference
  • Under is 5-0 in the last five games overall

The Winner Prediction

The Spurs are well-known as a tough opponent to beat on the home court and have won 17 of their last 20 showings at AT&T Center. Also, they are on a seven-game winning streak at home, so the league leaders will have a difficult time tonight. The Bucks will be dealing with fatigue which is another problem, while the Spurs had three days to rest and prepare, so I’m backing the hosts to cover.

The Pick: San Antonio Spurs -1.5 (-110)

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