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Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Game Preview and Prediction

The Utah Jazz will face off against the Denver Nuggets in the Northwest Division showdown at Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado, Thursday night. This will be their third head-to-head meeting of the season, and the series is tied as each has been victorious at home. The Nuggets are still the No. 2 seed in the West just half a game behind the Warriors, while the Jazz is the No. 6 seed eight games behind the Nuggets and 1.5 games behind the Houston Rockets at the 5th spot.

NBA: Thursday, February 28, 2019, Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado, 10:30 PM ET


The Jazz is looking to avoid its fourth straight loss on the road

The Utah Jazz (34-26; 31-27-2 ATS) defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 111-105 last night to record its second win in a row. Utah was trailing by seven points at halftime, but with some excellent defense in the second half, the Jazz overcame the Clippers allowing them to score just 49 points after halftime. The Jazz is 5-3 straight up and 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall, while Quin Snyder’s boys have dropped three consecutive games on the road and are 2-4 straight up and ATS in their previous six showings away from home.

Donovan Mitchell is leading the way for the Jazz, averaging 22.9 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game while making 42.0% of his field goals. Mitchell had 32 points against the Clippers last night. Rudy Gobert is tallying 15.4 points, 12.9 rebounds, and 2.2 blocks per contest, while Ricky Rubio is adding 13.2 points and 6.0 assists per outing. The Jazz is scoring 109.5 points per 100 possessions (18th in the league) on 46.2% shooting from the field (15th) and 34.8% from beyond the arc (19th), allowing 106.1 points in a return (3rd) on 45.6% shooting from the field (13th) and 36.0% from beyond the arc (20th).

The Nuggets are searching for their sixth consecutive win

The Denver Nuggets (42-18; 33-27 ATS) are riding a five-game winning streak following a 121-112 home victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder this past Tuesday which was their ninth consecutive win on the home court. The Nuggets shot 46.6% from the field, nailing 13 triples out of 28 attempts, while Nikola Jokic had another big game with 36 points, 10 assists, and nine rebounds. Denver is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 ATS in its last ten contests overall, while the Nuggets are almost unstoppable at Pepsi Center, winning 19 of their last 20 games at home and covering the spread 15 times in that span.

Nikola Jokic is leading the way for the Nuggets, averaging 20.7 points, 10.7 rebounds, and 7.7 assists per game while hitting 50.3% of his field goals. Jamal Murray is tallying 18.1 points and 5.0 assists per contest, making 43.1% of his field goals, while Paul Millsap is posting 12.5 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. The Nuggets are scoring 114.3 points per 100 possessions (3rd in the league) on 47.1% shooting from the field (8th) and 35.7% from beyond the arc (9th), surrendering 108.8 points in a return (10th) on 45.7% shooting from the field (15th) and 34.1% from downtown (4th).


Utah Jazz:

  • 0-5 SU and ATS in the last five road meetings with Denver
  • 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS in the last 11 road encounters with the Northwest Division
  • Over is 7-3 in the last ten games overall

Denver Nuggets:

  • 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS in the last ten games as favorites
  • 10-0 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last ten home encounters with the Northwest Division
  • Under is 6-4 in the last ten contests overall

The Winner Prediction

The Jazz will play without rest and is 5-5 straight up and 4-6 ATS on the back end of its ten back-to-back sets this season. The Nuggets have been pretty successful against Utah at home over the last few years and are dominating their rivals at Pepsi Center this season. Also, the Nuggets are finally healthy, having an excellent opportunity to finish at the top of the West, so I just have to take them to beat the Jazz and cover along the way. I don’t say it will be an easy task, as the Jazz is pretty unpredictable and can play some tough defense, but the Nuggets’ offense is at a high level at the moment and will be too much for Utah.

The Pick: Denver Nuggets -6.0 (-110)

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