Edmonton Oilers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL: Tuesday, November 6, 2018, Amalie Arena, Tampa, Florida, 7:30 PM ET
After a 4-2 defeat at the Washington Capitals last night, the Edmonton Oilers (8-5-1) move to the south to visit Tampa Bay at Amalie Arena. The Lightning (10-3-1) is playing in a shaky form recently, but they are still topping the Eastern Conference ahead of this matchup, so we should see a great game.
The Oilers are on a bumpy road
This will be Edmonton’s third road game in a row after beating the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 and losing at the Washington Capitals 4-2, while the Oilers will play one more away from home against the Florida Panthers after they meet the Tampa Bay Lightning. Last night, the Oilers had 33 shots toward Capitals’ goalie, ten more than the hosts, so they will try to improve their efficiency tonight and eventually upset the odds against at Tampa.
Goalie Cam Talbot is the first choice for the Oilers this season, and he has a 5-5-1 record with 2.93 GAA and .899 save percentage, while in five years in the league, Talbot recorded 2.52 GAA and .917 save percentage. The center Connor McDavid is leading the way for the Oilers with 10 goals and 12 assists, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has three goals and 13 assists on his account, while Leon Draisaitl added eight goals and seven assists to his name. Edmonton is 19th in the league in goals per game (3.0), 14th in goals against (2.9), and 13th in the league in power play percentage (22.0).
Tampa Bay won five out of seven at home this season
The Lightning is leading the Eastern Conference at the moment three points ahead of their closest rivals, while Tampa has won four of its last five games at home and three of its previous five games overall, losing the last game at home to the Nashville Predators 4-1. Tampa Bay is coming off a 4-3 overtime victory at the Ottawa Senators as Yanni Gourde scored the winning goal just 14 seconds into the overtime to get his team fifth win on the road this season.
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is mostly starting for Tampa Bay, and he has a 7-2-1 record, 1.98 GAA and .935 save percentage, but Louis Domingue played against the Senators two days ago, and he has a 3-1 record this season with 3.77 GAA and .885 save percentage. The center Brayden Point is leading the way for the Lightning with eight goals and nine assists, while Yanni Gourde scored six goals and eight assists in 14 appearances. Tampa Bay is 4th in the league in goals per game (3.5), 8th in goals against (2.7), and 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage (90.4).
- 5-1 in the last six games on the road
- 5-5 in the last ten games as underdogs
- 4-4 in the last eight road games against the Eastern Conference
- 4-6 in the last ten back-to-back games
Tampa Bay Lightning:
- 8-5 in the last 13 games at home
- 9-3 in the previous 12 games as favorites
- 0-4 in the last four home games against the Western Conference
The Winner Prediction
The Oilers will play without a rest here, so there will be some tired legs among their squad. The hosts should take advantage of this fact and get back on the winning path in front of the home audience. Likewise, the Lightning is 5-2 in the last seven meetings with the Oilers, and they’ve won six consecutive games against the Oilers at home, so I’m backing the Lightning to grab a victory on this one, too.
The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.0 (+125)
The hosts are among the most efficient teams in the league, but they are also conceding on a regular basis, while the Oilers defense conceded 25 goals in eight road games this season. Interestingly, a half of Edmonton’s and Tampa Bay’s 14 outings so far were ended in the over, and I think we should see a high-scoring affair here, as the Oilers have scored 21 goals on the road so far.
The Pick: Over 5.5 goals (-125)